A Meta-Analysis of Intervention Trials Examining the Effects of A Simple 2-Week Weight Loss Program on Body Weight and Waist Circumference

Background: Relatively faster initial weight loss may enhance participant motivation to adhere to a longer-term weight reduction or maintenance plan and overall healthier lifestyle. The Special K ChallengeTM is a portion-controlled, 2-week program that recommends replacement of two meals per day with ready-to-eat cereal and incorporation of portion-controlled snacks, fruits, and vegetables to help participants either begin a weight loss program or attain short-term weight loss for ongoing weight maintenance efforts. The objective of this meta-analysis is to examine the effects of a shortterm weight loss program on body weight and waist circumference in ten trials conducted across seven countries. Methods: Random effects meta-analyses generating weighted mean differences in body weight and waist circumference from baseline to 2-weeks (within-group analyses) and comparing intervention to control, where applicable. Results: The Special K ChallengeTM intervention resulted in statistically significant weighted mean reductions in body weight (-1.61 kg, 95% CI: -1.85, -1.37) and waist circumference (-2.19 cm, 95% CI: -2.72, -1.66) in the within-group analyses. Compared to the control group, the Special K ChallengeTM intervention resulted in a statistically significant decrease in body weight (-1.43 kg, 95% CI: -2.10, -0.76) and waist circumference (-1.20 cm, 95% CI: -2.20, -0.20). Two subgroups analyses, one among women only and one by readyto-eat-cereal serving size, were consistent with these findings. Conclusion: Overall, successful short-term weight loss was achieved, demonstrating that a simple, energy-reduced program with calorie-controlled meals and snacks is an effective approach to attain short-term weight loss and reduce waist circumference among overweight individuals.


Introduction
Overweight and obesity prevalence has increased markedly worldwide over the past several decades [1], presenting a major threat to the health of the global population.More than 1.4 billion adults are currently overweight, of which 200 million men and 300 million women are obese [1].As overweight and obesity are established risk factors for serious co-morbidities, including cardiovascular disease, hypertension, Type 2 diabetes mellitus, and certain cancers, among other health conditions [2], identifying both environmental-level and individual-level strategies to help regulate body weight is imperative [3].Since ways of preventing and treating overweight and obesity are complex, leading nutrition and health authorities recommend a multifaceted approach to successful and sustainable weight loss and weight maintenance [3][4][5].A known and direct cause of obesity is energy imbalance [3]; therefore, decreasing energy intake and increasing energy expenditure are mainstays of evidence-based behavioral interventions [6].One specific strategy to reduce energy intake, thereby facilitating weight loss and weight maintenance, is to replace higher energy-dense meals with lower energy-dense, portion-controlled meals [7][8][9].
The Special K Challenge TM is a relatively simple and practical program in which participants replace two meals per day with Special K ® low calorie meal replacements, including primarily Ready-To-Eat Cereal (RTEC), but also protein bars and protein shakes, while still selecting one sensible meal of their choice.Additional components of this program include skim milk-to consume with the cereal-low-calorie Special K snacks ® , such as protein snack bars or cereal bars (90-110 kcal per serving), and fruits and vegetables [10].By helping individuals reduce their caloric intake with commercially available, lower energydense, and portion-controlled meals and snacks, the Special K Challenge TM intervention can help participants either begin a weight loss program or to provide short-term weight loss for ongoing weight maintenance efforts.By design, the Special K Challenge TM intervention is a short-term program, and as such, is not intended to be followed long-term.Since motivation is an integral component of successful weight loss in both the short-and long-term [11,12], however, an initial weight loss experienced on the Special K Challenge TM intervention could help motivate individuals to continue with their long-term weight control plans.This analysis includes ten trials that have been conducted among overweight and obese, generally healthy adults across seven countries on three continents to examine the effects of the Special K Challenge TM intervention on body weight and waist circumference over a 2-week period [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22].Six of these trials were Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) [13,14,15,18,19,21] and four were uncontrolled trials [16,17,20,22].The objective of this meta-analysis is to examine the effects of a short-term weight loss program on body weight and waist circumference in ten trials conducted across seven countries.

Identification of Trials
Ten Special K Challenge TM intervention trials with available results were located, four of which have been published in the peer-reviewed literature and identified in PubMed [14,[17][18][19], and were included in this meta-analysis.All ten trials [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22] examined the effect of the Special K Challenge TM intervention on body weight, while all trials but one [18] evaluated change in waist circumference.The studies were conducted in free-living, generally healthy, overweight and obese adult populations across seven countries, including France [13], Ireland [22], Mexico [15,21], Spain [19], the United Kingdom [16,17], the United States [14,18], and Venezuela [20].The six unpublished intervention trials were independent trials funded by Kellogg  , conducted by five universities and one contract research organization: Loughborough University in the United Kingdom [16]; Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro in Mexico [15]; Carabobo University in Venezuela [20]; Universidad IberoamericanaSante Fe in Mexico [21]; University of Limerick in Ireland [22]; and Optimed, a contract research organization in France [13].This review and meta-analysis follows the PRISMA statement for preferred reporting [23].

Data extraction and quality assessment
For this meta-analysis, data were extracted from peerreviewed publications for four studies [14,[17][18][19], original datasets plus internal reports for three trials [15,16,21] (thus, six sources for these three trials), and internal reports alone for the remaining three trials [13,20,22].If more than one source was available for a study, the following hierarchy was used for data extraction (assuming sufficient data were available in one source): • Peer-reviewed publication;

Statistical analysis
Meta-analyses were performed using random effects modeling with Comprehensive Meta-Analysis Software [25].Random effects models were used to accommodate differences in subject or intervention characteristics, as well as countryspecific differences, which could have impacted the results.All meta-analysis models generated Weighted Group Mean Differences (WGMD) in body weight (kg) or waist circumference (cm), as well as 95% CIs and corresponding p-values for heterogeneity.Outcome data measured on different scales were converted to the same unit (e.g., pounds to kg and inches to cm) to ensure comparability between studies [24].The meta-analysis models used the per-protocol results from all trials for greater comparability because only one study provided intent-to-treat results in addition to the per-protocol findings [25].Each study was weighted by the inverse of the within-study error variance plus the between-study variance [26].
The primary meta-analyses evaluated the effect of the Special K Challenge TM intervention on body weight and waist circumference, consistently measured as the narrowest part of the torso, from baseline to the end of 2 weeks (within-group analysis) and compared intervention to control (between-group analysis), where applicable.The within-group analysis included 13 study arms because the trial by Wal et al. [14] had three different Special K Challenge TM arms and the trial by Mattes [18] had two intervention arms-a Special K Challenge TM arm and an arm that consumed a variety of Kellogg ® brand RTECs.In the between-group analysis, results data from the comparison of only one study arm vs. control from each of these studies [14,18] were included to avoid double-counting results.The study arm selected was the one most comparable to the interventions in the other included studies-i.e., the Special K Challenge TM cereal arm (without Special K Challenge TM waffles or bars) in the study by Wal et al. [14] and the Special K Challenge TM cereal arm in the study by Mattes [18].Subgroup meta-analyses were performed among women only and by serving size of Special K  cereal/ RTEC (30/31 g vs. 45 g).These analyses examined change from baseline since there were insufficient studies with a control arm for a between-group analysis of these subgroups.There were also insufficient data to examine men only.P< 0.05 was used to determine statistical significance.

Study characteristics
Primary characteristics of the intervention trials are provided in Table 1: six of these trials were RCTs [13,15,18,19,21] and four were uncontrolled trials [16,17,20,22].A total of 545 participants were included in the within-group (change-from-baseline) metaanalysis of the Special K Challenge TM intervention and body weight; 458 participants (232 in the intervention and 226 in the control) were included in the between-group meta-analysis.Participant retention at 2 weeks, the endpoint used in this metaanalysis, was 79% in the intervention group (545 completers of the 694 enrollees).In the control group, participant retention was 74% (226 completers of the 306 enrollees).All trials collected outcome data at 2 weeks, or 17 days in the case of Vadillo et al [21].Individual trial size ranged from 22 [17] to 137 adults [14].Mean Body Mass Index (BMI) across the studies ranged from 27.7 [13] to 36.4 kg/m 2 [14].Two studies [15,19] were conducted in women only; the remaining studies were conducted in both men and women.Four studies presented separate results for men and women, as well as combined results [13,16,21,22].

Meta-analysis results
Figure 1 shows the effect size (WGMD), 95% CI, and precision of each study from the meta-analysis of trials examining the Special K Challenge TM intervention and change in body weight from baseline, among all subjects (forest plot A), women only (forest plot B), and by serving size (forest plot C).All weighted mean reductions in body weight calculated in the meta-analysis were statistically significant.Results from each individual trial consistently showed reductions in body weight (Table 2).In the meta-analysis of all subjects, the Special K Challenge TM intervention reduced body weight by 1.61 kg (95% CI: -1.85, -1.37).Among women, the Special K Challenge TM intervention decreased body weight by 1.22 kg (95% CI: -1.38, -1.05).The

A Meta-Analysis of Intervention Trials Examining the Effects of A Simple 2-Week Weight Loss Program on Body Weight and Waist Circumference
Copyright: © 2016 Perez et al.  Figure 2 depicts the effects of the Special K Challenge TM intervention on change in waist circumference from baseline, among all subjects (forest plot A), women only (forest plot B), and by serving size (forest plot C).All weighted mean reductions in waist circumference generated by the meta-analysis models were statistically significant.Results from each individual study also consistently found a reduction in waist circumference with the Special K Challenge TM intervention (Table 2).The Special K Challenge TM intervention decreased waist circumference by 2.19 cm (95% CI: -2.72, -1.66) among all subjects and by 2.06 cm (95% CI: -2.41, -1.71) among women.Subgroup analysis by serving size revealed reductions of 2.84 (95% CI: -3.42, -2.26) with the smaller serving of 30-31 g RTEC per meal and 1.77 cm (95% CI: -2.37, -1.18) with the larger serving of 45 g RTEC per meal.Although the 95% CIs slightly overlapped, the corresponding p-value for heterogeneity was statistically significant (p-H = 0.012), suggesting possible effect modification by serving size.The meta-analysis results examining the effects of the Special K Challenge TM intervention, compared to control, on body weight and waist circumference are illustrated in Figure 3.These results were consistent with those from the within-group analyses.Compared to control, the Special K Challenge TM intervention resulted in a statistically significant reduction in both body weight (-1.43 kg; 95% CI: -2.10, -0.76) and waist circumference (-1.20 cm; 95% CI: -2.20, -0.20).There were insufficient data to examine the effects of the Special K Challenge TM intervention compared to control by subgroups.

Discussion
The present meta-analysis supports participation in the Special K Challenge TM program to reduce body weight and waist circumference among generally healthy, overweight adult populations.The consistent, statistically significant weighted mean reductions in body weight and waist circumference among all subjects, population subgroups, and RTEC serving sizes (30-31 g and 45 g per meal) demonstrates that the Special K Challenge TM program is an effective, short-term approach for reducing body weight and waist circumference.The meta-analysis that examined change-from-baseline in body weight among participants in the Special K Challenge TM intervention, and the meta-analysis comparing the effects of the Special K Challenge TM intervention vs. control generated weighted mean body weight reductions that were similar in magnitude (-1.61 kg and -1.43 kg, respectively).The change-from-baseline decrease in waist circumference (-2.19 cm) was larger than the decrease from the meta-analysis comparing the Special K Challenge TM intervention to control (-1.20 cm), although both were in the same direction and statistically significant.Further support for the Special K Challenge TM programs comes from an evaluation of the individual trials [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22], each of which found statistically significant decreases in body weight and waist circumference from baseline, except for Mattes [18], which did not examine waist circumference as an outcome.The meta-analysis results, in addition to the consistency in findings among the individual studies conducted across seven countries on three continents-North America, South America, and Europe-indicate that the findings from this meta-analysis are generalizable to other generally healthy, overweight populations across different geographic regions.
The Special K Challenge TM is designed to be a simple, 2-week program to help participants either begin a weight loss program or to provide short-term weight loss for ongoing weight maintenance efforts.The foundation of this program is the replacement of two meals per day with low calorie meal replacements, the core of which is breakfast cereals.Additional components of this program include skim milk, portion-controlled snacks, fruits, and vegetables.The Special K Challenge TM program relies on familiar, commercially-available breakfast cereal that is low in energy density but high in nutrient density [27][28][29].The RTECs recommended in this program are good sources of many vitamins and minerals, including vitamins A, B 6 , B 12 , C, and E, folic acid, niacin, riboflavin, thiamin, iron, selenium, and zinc, and contribute no saturated fat while also providing approximately 6 g of protein [30].Previous research has shown that RTEC is an important contributor to daily intakes of key vitamins and minerals as well as overall diet quality [27,29,31,32].In addition, past analyses of data from national food intake surveys have found that individuals who consumed RTEC for breakfast, compared to those who skipped breakfast or consumed meat or eggs, or both, had a significantly lower BMI [32].Furthermore, dietary patterns that include RTEC have been associated with a lower BMI [33].
The current findings highlight the effectiveness of a weightloss plan based on the principle of reducing energy intake through meal replacement and portion control.Accumulating evidence shows that reduction in energy intake, as opposed to a specific macronutrient composition, is the key tenet of successful weight loss [34].A large randomized clinical trial of 811 participants found that energy-reduced diets of varying macronutrient composition-low or high fat, low or high in carbohydrates, and average or high protein-all resulted in significant weight loss after 2 years [34].
The Special K Challenge TM is not intended to be a long-term plan for weight loss and weight maintenance.Rather, the role of the Special K Challenge TM is to provide an initial weight loss that could, in turn, improve motivation-an established, integral component of successful weight loss and weight maintenance [11,12,35]-to adhere to a long-term plan that involves sustainable lifestyle-related behavioral changes.Moreover, many aspects of the Special K Challenge TM , including consumption of RTEC for breakfast and an overall low energy-dense, reducedcalorie, and low-fat diet, are consistent with the core tenets of successful weight loss among long-term weight loss maintainers.This diet is not driven primarily by a reduction in carbohydrate intake, which is often associated with short-term water loss in the first week of dieting.According to data from the National Weight Control Registry, a U.S. database of more than 4,000 individuals who have successfully maintained weight loss [36], the defining characteristics of this population is the regular consumption of breakfast and a low-calorie, low-fat diet, in addition to consistent eating patterns across weekdays and weekends and regular physical activity [37,38].
The strengths of the present meta-analysis include the large total sample of participants, the diverse geographic representation of the study populations, and the comparability of the intervention arms (which reduces between-study variation).In addition, the inclusion of unpublished data helps overcome the potential problem of publication bias, which can arise due to the selective availability of published data [39].Nevertheless, several limitations should be considered.Four of the included studies were uncontrolled trials [16,17,20,22]; therefore, changes in body weight and waist circumference in these trials cannot be fully attributed to the intervention, as the placebo effect remains possible [40].The significant results in the analysis of only those trials with control arms, however, suggest that the Special K Challenge TM intervention has a true effect on body weight and waist circumference.The retention rate in the intervention of 79% is comparable, and in some cases higher, to what has been documented in the literature [41,42], but suggests that the Special K Challenge TM intervention, similar to other diet interventions, may have to be modified to meet the needs of certain subgroups of the population.The present analysis is based on data from per-protocol analyses rather than intention-to-treat analyses.The potential for bias in the reported measures of association is possible; however, the relatively high retention rate minimizes the probability of observing spurious results.

Conclusion
In summary, the meta-analysis of RCTs and uncontrolled trials that examined the Special K Challenge TM intervention revealed statistically significant reductions in both body weight and waist circumference.Since waist circumference, performed correctly, is an indicator of abdominal fat [43,44], these findings also suggest that abdominal fat may be reduced from the Special K Challenge TM intervention.The consistent findings among all analyses, including that of all subjects, population subgroups, and RTEC serving sizes demonstrate that the Special K Challenge TM intervention is effective for reducing body weight and waist circumference in the short-term.The simultaneous decrease in

Figure 1a :
Figure 1a: Forest plots depicting the change in body weight (kg) from baseline in the RTEC/SPK intervention, among all subjects Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies; Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs; Square size is proportional to study weight; Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD) RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; CB: SPK cereal plus SPK nutrient bar; CBW: SPK cereal, SPK waffle, plus SPK nutrient bar; CR: SPK cereal only.*p<0.05

Figure 1b :
Figure 1b: Forest plots depicting the change in body weight (kg) from baseline in the RTEC/SPK intervention, females only Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies; Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs; Square size is proportional to study weight; Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD) RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; CB: SPK cereal plus SPK nutrient bar; CBW: SPK cereal, SPK waffle, plus SPK nutrient bar; CR: SPK cereal only.*p<0.05

Figure 1c :
Figure 1c: Forest plots depicting the change in body weight (kg) from baseline in the RTEC/SPK intervention and by dose Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies; Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs; Square size is proportional to study weight; Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD) RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; CB: SPK cereal plus SPK nutrient bar; CBW: SPK cereal, SPK waffle, plus SPK nutrient bar; CR: SPK cereal only.*p<0.05 : Ready-To-Eat Cereal; SD: Standard Deviation; SPK: Special K a Year of publication is shown, if available; otherwise, year of report or original data file is provided.b Study included three intervention arms: SPK cereal + nutrient bar (CB); SPK cereal + SPK waffle + SPK nutrient bar (CBW); and SPK cereal alone (CR).c Study included two intervention arms: SPK cereal (SPK) and variety of RTEC (RTEC).meta-analysisby serving size revealed reductions of 1.95 kg (95% CI: -2.25, -1.65) with 30-31g RTEC per meal and 1.32 kg (95% CI: -1.63, -1.01) with 45g RTEC per meal.As shown by the non-overlapping 95% CIs and corresponding p-value for heterogeneity (p-H = 0.005), body weight reduction in the intervention group differed significantly by serving size, with a larger reduction seen with the smaller serving size.

Figure 2a :
Figure 2a: Forest plots depicting the change in waist circumference (cm) from baseline in the RTEC/SPK intervention, among all subjects Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies;Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs; Square size is proportional to study weight; Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD) RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; CB: SPK cereal plus SPK nutrient bar; CBW: SPK cereal, SPK waffle, plus SPK nutrient bar; CR: SPK cereal only.*p<0.05

Figure 2b :Figure 2c :Figure 3a :
Figure 2b: Forest plots depicting the change in waist circumference (cm) from baseline in the RTEC/SPK intervention, females only Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies; Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs; Square size is proportional to study weight; Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD) RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; CB: SPK cereal plus SPK nutrient bar; CBW: SPK cereal, SPK waffle, plus SPK nutrient bar; CR: SPK cereal only.*p<0.05

Figure 3b :
Figure 3b: Forest plots depicting the change in waist circumference (cm) in the SPK intervention, compared to control.Squares represent mean change in body weight within the individual studies; Horizontal lines represent 95% CIs.Square size is proportional to study weight.Diamonds represent the weighted group mean changes (WGMD).RTEC: Ready to Eat Breakfast Cereal; SPK: Special K Cereal; WGMD: Weighted Group Mean Difference. 1 Includes study arm that received SPK cereal only.*p<0.05

Table 1 :
Characteristics of the intervention trials included in the meta-analysis.
Abbreviations: RTEC: Ready-To-Eat Cereal; SPK: Special K a Year of publication, if available; otherwise, year of report or original data file.b All RTEC was Kellogg brand.c Participants consumed a variety of RTEC for the first 10 days, followed by 7 days with an additional serving of SPK cereal.

Table 2 :
Data summary of the individual intervention trials included in the meta-analysis.